Articles about technology and science
just got a smartphone. I didn't get it as a phone, though of course it
has that capability. I got it as a computer! In my first couple of
hours of playing with it, I was struck with the realization that this
tiny gadget is the current heir to the computing legacy I have watched
and lived since I was a teenager -- and I was astounded how far we have
article is a critique of a technology forecast based on a seminar
hosted by Singularity University. That forecast is predictably
consistent with SU's major tenet that, sooner rather than later,
artificial intelligence will grow without bound and make our lives much
better. But it is much broader than just AI. My critique agrees with
much that is said. But I question the time frame of some of the
predictions; we aren't nearly ready to move ahead with them. I also
throw in some caveats about societal implications of the forecast.
Technology forecasting itself is a "vocational skill", which
involves being able to apply some well-understood principles. Here are
some of the ways a professional forecaster looks at things.
Every so often I get a panicked email from a relative, with an
that somebody sent her in an email. "Is this true? It's really scary!"
That is an improvement from previous years, when she would pass it
along as gospel. Hey, not everything you read on the Internet is true.
Here are some ways to figure out what's true and what's not.